Projected growth report is scary
To the editor:
This letter addresses the recent NHOSP report covering population growth in years 2014-2040 for the state. The projections are scary but not unanticipated.
The report says the state’s population will grow by 8 percent between 2014 and 2040. That’s a growth of 110,000. The current population is 1.3 million.
I pick a few figures to reflect the lack of change or growth in the years to come.
One thing for sure is that those who advocate no growth and high taxes will revel in their success. We now have a state with no growth. Only time will tell just what the impacts will be and the extent of those changes on its citizens.
First, those 15 and under. Their figure will drop from 232,182 to 198,688. This means the group now drops from 17.6 percent to 13.9 percent of the total population. This figure affects schools, kindergartens, charter and private schools. This is a huge change.
Now let’s take those 65 and older. Their numbers will increase from 178,268 in 2010 to 410,999 in 2040, a jump of 232,731. And finally those 85 and older — their numbers jump from 24,761 to 81,900.
Looking at births, we find their number will drop from 63,000 to 59,000.
Looking at Jaffrey-Rindge school district and ConVal, Jaffrey and Rindge will grow by a combined 1,100 while ConVal towns will grow by 325. Currently the population of the nine ConVal towns is 18,677 while Jaffrey and Rindge is 10,836.
There are about 13 school districts in New Hampshire with the same population as ConVal and they show the same small growth curve.
Those in the process of addressing these issues have the facts, see the trends and should act accordingly.
Some see our class sizes heading toward single digit numbers and know that’s wrong.